It was another huge night for The Fight Predictor! UFC on Fox 11: Werdum vs Browne saw us go 4-1 on our picks for a profit of 9.51 units. Add that to our 14.97 unit profit at the TUF Nations Finale and you have an almost +25 unit week which is an impressive number by anyones standards!
In the main event, we had Fabricio Werdum to defeat Travis Browne. Our bet was 3 units at 2.40, but by fight time, the line on Werdum had climbed to 2.96. If you tailed us, you were definitely on the right side! Not only did Werdum control the action in the clinch and on the ground, but he dominated Travis Browne on the feet. Most people didn’t expect Werdum would be able to have success standing with Browne. We profit 4.2 units.
The last leg of our third parlay was Miesha Tate to defeat Liz Carmouche. Round 1 saw Carmouche control Tate in the grappling and land 2 takedowns. Round 2 was more even, Tate won the early striking, but Carmouche was able to lay on top for much of the rest of the round. Round 3 was the opposite, seeing an agressive Miesha Tate land a couple takedowns and eventually take the back of Carmouche. Tate came very close to securing a rear naked choke, but Carmouche was just able to fend it off. We scored the fight 29-28 for Tate, giving her the second and third rounds. For once the judges got it right across the board, all 3 scored it the same as us and awarded Miesha Tate the decision. We profit 2.55 units.
Our second bet of the main card was Donald Cerrone to defeat Edson Barboza. It was a fight where we expected fireworks and we expected it would either be fight of the night or a quick finish. Initially, things looked bad for Cerrone as Barboza appeared to clip him a couple times. In an awesome turn of events for us, Cerrone dropped Barboza with a hard jab and then jumped on his back and got a rear naked choke finish. Our 3 unit bet at 2.00 profited 3.00 units.
The second leg of our Magalhaes parlay was Brad Tavares to defeat Yoel Romero. The parlay was 3 units at 2.34. Round 1 saw Romero with some impressive grappling and striking, even rag dolling Tavares a couple times. Round 2 was pretty similar, except Tavares managed to get in some decent strikes of his own. At best, we were 19-19 heading to the third, but it was more likely 20-18 for Romero. The third round was similar to the first with Romero rag dolling Tavares to the ground at will and getting the best of Tavares in the striking exchanges. We had no argument with all three judges scoring the fight in favour of Yoel Romero 30-27. We lost our 3 unit parlay bet.
The first leg of our third parlay was Caiao Magalhaes to defeat Luke Zachrich. Magalhaes won the fight via TKO with knees to the body and punches to his downed opponent early in round number 1.
The first leg of our second parlay was Jordan Mein to defeat the debuting Hermani Perpetuo. Round 1 saw Mein control the action while landing a nasty knee before gaining top position and landing g & p. Round 2 saw Mein also winning the striking before landing a nice takedown towards the end of the round. Round 3 saw Mein controlling most of the action again, but around mid-round, Perpetuo locked in a very deep leg lock. Luckily, Mein was able to survive and make it to the bell, but the round clearly went Perpetuo’s way. The judges got it right in scoring a split decision for Jordan Mein (it was surprising that one judge scored the fight for Perpetuo, but the net result was the same).
We missed the first few fights of the card, but we were pleasantly pleased when we saw the results. Our first parlay was 3 units at 1.92 on Derrick Lewis and Dustin Ortiz to win their respective fights. Lewis finished Jack May in the first round of their heavyweight bout. Ortiz took 3 full rounds and was in a very close battle, but was given the win over Ray Borg via split decision. We profit 2.76 units.
In one week, UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira will be live from the Baltimore Arena in Baltimore, Maryland and we’ll have you fully covered with our predictions and bets. Our early predictions and bets for the Pay-Per-View portion of the card have already been posted so we’ll just have our full predictions and bets coming out mid-week. Don’t forget to follow us on Twitter and Facebook.
Werdum over Browne. 3 units at 2.40 (+4.20 units)
Tate/Mein Parlay. 3 units at 1.85 (+2.55 units)
Cerrone over Barboza. 3 units at 2.00 (+3.00 units)
Lewis/Ortiz Parlay. 3 units at 1.92 (+2.76 units)
Tavares/Magalhaes Parlay. 3 units at 2.34 (-3.00 units)
Event Record: 4-1
Event Profit: +9.51 units