The first UFC event of 2013 comes up this Sunday and this will be the first card of 2013 where I’m betting full units! I was skeptical how the model would perform with just Strikeforce fights last weekend and I was correct to not bet full units as I was only correct on 1 out of 3 fights where all bets were placed on favourites.
First up, in the main event, we have Vitor Belfort vs Michael Bisping. In this intriguing match-up where Bisping will get a middleweight title shot vs Anderson Silva if he wins, I have Vitor Belfort winning. He is only a slight favourite in the model however, so I wouldn’t bet the house on him winning when the return at the moment is only 1.9 to 1. I place a 1 unit bet on Belfort at 1.8 to 1.
Secondly, we have a heavyweight tilt between Ben Rothwell and Gabriel Gonzaga. Gonzaga is on a two fight win streak with one of those wins coming in the UFC. He has been a middle of the pack heavyweight for the last 6 or 7 years. He is facing off against Ben Rothwell. The 31 year old Rothwell came into the UFC after having quite a bit of success in the IFL. He knocked out Brendan Schaub in his last fight and possesses lots of power in his hands. The model has Gonzaga taking this one by quite a big margin. I placed a 1 unit bet on Gonzaga at 1.8 to 1.
Finally, we have Nick Lentz vs Diego Nunes. The model has Nunes as a significant favourite so I placed a 1 unit bet at 1.6 to 1.
Belfort at 1.8 to 1
Gonzaga at 1.8 to 1
Nunes at 1.6 to 1
Here are the latest odds for the card: