UFC on FOX 6: Demetrious Johnson vs John Dodson is live tomorrow night from the United Centre in Chicago, Illinois. Prelims will begin at 4:30 ET on Facebook, with FX prelims beginning at 5 ET. The main card begins at 8 ET on FOX.
I wrote an article with my early predictions and bets earlier this week. As well, I will be maintaining a result summary page which will have all my upcoming picks as well as a summary of my results over 2013.
There are 3 more picks to briefly go over. I will begin with my models selection of Ryan Bader over Vladimir Matyushenko. Obviously, since Bader is sitting around 1.2 to 1, this pick is relatively obvious. Because I am fairly confident with my main event pick of Demetrious Johnson over John Dodson, I placed a 1 unit parlay at 1.72 to 1 on Johnson and Bader winning.
My models second pick is Hatsu Hioki over Clay Guida. I placed a 1 unit bet on Hioki with the odds at a juicy 3 to 1. Guida’s coming off 2 losses with his last fight being the debatable decision against Gray Maynard where he essentially ran away for most of the fight. When considering strength of opponent though, Guida clearly has an edge considering his losses were against the aforemention Maynard and current champ, Benson Henderson. Hioki is also coming off a loss to Ricardo Lamas, who seems to be coming on strong as of late with 3 straight wins. Regardless of who wins this fight, it should be an exciting one as it usually is when Guida steps into the cage.
The final pick of the undercard is Shawn Jordan over Mike Russow. This is my third pick of the night with odds of 2 to 1 or higher. If all these picks pay off, it could be a very profitable night! I put 1 unit on Jordan at 2.65 to 1.
Johnson over Dodson. 2 units at 1.465 to 1
Pettis over Cerrone. 1 unit at 1.91 to 1
Koch over Lamas. 1.5 units at 1.72 to 1
Wiman over Grant. 1 unit at 2 to 1
Hioki over Guida. 1 unit at 3 to 1
Jordan over Russow. 1 unit at 2.65 to 1
Bader and Johnson over Matyushenko and Dodson. 1 unit at 1.72 to 1
As always, here are the latest odds for UFC on FOX 6: Johnson vs Dodson: