UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva II is live this Saturday from the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. We already posted our early picks for the event here. Now that the full odds are out for the card, we are ready to give you our full picks. The main card begins at 10pm ET on PPV, with the FX prelims beginning at 8pm ET and the Facebook prelims beginning at 6:30pm ET.
As mentioned in our last two articles, we did not plan to bet on the main event at current odds. However, we found a great fight to pair Cain Velasquez up with for a 1.57 to 1, 2 team parlay. We paired Velasquez with Donald Cerrone, who will be facing KJ Noons in the opener of the main card. Cerrone’s only recent losses have come to featherweight top contender Anthony Pettis and former lightweight title challenger Nate Diaz. Noons on the other hand did not have much going for him towards the end of Strikeforce. He lost a questionable split decision to Ryan Couture as well as 3 of his other 4 fights, only being able to defeat Billy Evangelista. Realistically, Cerrone should cruise to victory in this one so we added him to the Cain Velasquez parlay since we also expect Cain to cruise to a second win over Antonio Silva. We placed a 1 unit bet on Velasquez and Cerrone to defeat Silva and Noons at 1.57 to 1.
We also discussed the Gray Maynard vs TJ Grant fight in our previous post, but because we have Maynard as a heavy favourite and his odds sit at 1.5, we have decided to place a 1 unit bet on Maynard at 1.5 to 1.
In a second parlay of the night, we have Story and Bermudez defeating Pyle and Holloway. In both these fights, our model’s confidence is slightly lower than in the Maynard/Grant fight, for example, but it is still high enough to justify this parlay at well over 2 to 1. Story’s opponent, Pyle has been on a tear of late, winning 3 in a row via TKO. His opponents over that stretch however, have been more mid-tier than top tier welterweights, while Story has been fighting in mostly the upper tier of the division. We feel that Story will be able to control the action and bring home a submission victory over Pyle. In Bermudez vs Holloway, both fighters have won their last 3 contests in the UFC. Both fighters finished one fight over that stretch. We see the 26 year old more experienced Bemrudez being able to control the 21 year old Holloway with his division 1 wrestling credentials. We placed a 1 unit bet at 2.41 to 1.
In our final pick of the night, and the lone underdog we are betting on, we have George Roop defeating a returning Brian Bowles. Firstly, it is very important to note that Bowles has not fought in 18 months due to various injuries. We feel it will be tough for Bowles to pick up where he left off, as one of the top UFC bantamweights. In Bowles’ absence, Roop has been able to go 2-2, not world beating numbers, but it does show he has stayed busy and has been able to take a couple victories. We placed a 1.5 unit bet on Roop at 3.46 to 1.
Dos Santos to finish Hunt. 1.5 units at 1.833 to 1
Teixeira over Te Huna. 1.5 units at 1.37 to 1
Maynard over Grant. 1 unit at 1.5 to 1
Roop over Bowles. 1.5 unit bet at 3.46 to 1
Velasquez and Cerrone over Silva and Noons. 1 unit bet at 1.57 to 1
Story and Bermudez over Pyle and Holloway. 1 unit bet at 2.41 to 1
Here are the latest odds for UFC 160: