UFC 168 is now just a few days away. We already gave you our main and co-main event picks as well as our full main card predictions and bets. We’re back now with the fight card just a few days away to give you our full predictions and bets for the entire fight card. The fights go down this Saturday, December 28 from the UFC’s backyard in Las Vegas, Nevada. The online prelims start at 7pm, with the Fox Sports 1 prelims at 8pm ET and the pay per view portion of the card at 10pm ET.
In our final model prediction of the night, we have Michael Johnson to defeat Gleison Tibau in the lightweight division. Tibau enters the fight riding a 2 fight win streak with victories over Jamie Varner and John Cholish which followed a controversial split decision loss to Evan Dunham. Johnson enters the fight on a 1 fight win streak with a win over Joe Lauzon. Prior to that win, he had 2 losses to Myles Jury and Reza Madadi. In terms of the stats, Johnson lands 3.54 strikes per minute and absorbs 2.16 while Tibau lands 1.86 and absorbs 2.16. The grappling front is a different story with Tibau landing 4.49 takedowns at 57% accuracy and defending 92% of takedowns. Johnson lands just 0.6 takedowns also at 57% accuracy and defends 76% against. Obviously, the fight will come down to Johnson trying to defend takedowns and Tibau attempting to land takedowns. We expected Johnson to be the more successful fighter for at least 2 of 3 rounds. We placed a 3 unit bet on Johnson at 2.33 to 1.
Weidman over Silva. 3 units at 2.2 to 1
Over 1.5 rounds Tate vs Rousey. 1.5 units at 2.85 to 1
Under 1.5 rounds Barnett vs Browne. 3 units at 1.87 to 1
Johnson over Tibau. 3 units at 2.33 to 1
The Fight Predictor Parlays
Siver over Gamburyan and Peralta over Payan. 2 units at 2.06 to 1
Miller over Camoes and Voelker over Macario. 2 units at 2.15 to 1
Here are the latest odds for UFC 168: Silva vs Weidman II: