It would have been a better weekend for us if we hadn’t ventured so heavily into the Bellator 111 betting. Our net result at UFC Fight Night 37: Gustafsson vs Manuwa was +0.15 units. Unfortunately, the 4.34 unit loss at Bellator meant we’re still down over 4 units on the weekend. Regardless, we’ll be back next week with our full predictions and bets for UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler which looks to be an absolutely awesome fight card! By the way, if you haven’t checked out Reed Kuhn’s Fightnomics it is a must read for any UFC fan, or anyone interested in betting on UFC fights.
In the first leg of our second parlay bet, we had Luke Barantt to defeat Mats Nilsson. The parlay was 3 units on Barnatt, Nelson and Gustafsson to win at 2.18 to 1. Leg 1 cashed easily as Barnatt used his reach better than ever before to keep his shorter opponent at range. He eventually got the finish late in the first round. Gunnar Nelson succeeded as our second leg of this parlay. His fight against Omari Akhmedov was completely one sided as Nelson kncoked Akhmedov down early and spent the majority of the first round in mount. Eventaully he was able to lock in a guillotine choke to which Akhmedov tapped quickly. We were left relying on Alexander Gustafsson to close out our parlay! Alexander Gustafsson won via second round TKO which was set up with a huge knee from the clinch and finished with ground and pound. We profit 3.54 units.
Our second straight bet of the night was on Michael Johnson to defeat Melvin Guillard. We bet 3 units at 1.87 to 1, but by fight time, the line was down to 1.59 to 1. Johnson pushed the action for 3 full rounds while Guillard basically ran away. It was a fight that we thought could be in contention for fight of the night heading in, but it was nowhere close when all was said and done. The judges scored it 30-27×2, 29-28 in favour of Johnson. We profit 2.61 units.
In the first leg of our first parlay bet on the night, we had Igor Araujo to defeat Danny Mitchell. The parlay bet between Araujo and Brad Scott to defeat Claudio Da Silva was for 3 units at 2.47 to 1. There was little danger of Araujo losing throughout the contest with Mitchell. 95% of the fight was spent on the ground with Araujo on top. Mitchell was attempting several submissions, but usually from his back which doesn’t tend to score points with the judges. The judges got it right in scoring a unanimous decision in favour of Araujo. Brad Scott fought a pretty even first round, dominated the second on the feet, but was pinned much of the third. Unfortunately for our bet, the judges all scored the fight in favour of Claudio Silva and we lose our 3 unit bet.
Our first bet of the night was Phil Harris to defeat Louis Gaudinot. The bet was 3 units at 2.65 to 1. Unfortunately, our hopes of winning this one didn’t last long. As expected, Harris began working for a takedown right away, but was caught in a guillotine by Gaudinot. Gaudinot was able to force Harris to tap early in the first. We lost our 3 unit bet.
We’ll be back this week with a couple articles detailing our picks for the stacked UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler fight card which goes down next Saturday, March 15. By the way, if you haven’t checked out Reed Kuhn’s Fightnomics it is a must read for any UFC fan, or anyone interested in betting on UFC fights.
Gustafsson, Nelson, Barnatt parlay (+3.54 units)
Johnson over Guillard (+2.61 units)
Scott, Araujo parlay (-3.00 units)
Harris over Gaudinot (-3.00 units)
Event Record: 2-2
Event Profit: 0.15 units