We’re less than 24 hours away from UFC on Fox 11: Werdum vs Browne which will be live from the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida tomorrow night, Saturday, April 19. The fight card begins on Fight Pass at 3:30 pm ET on Fight Pass with the televised prelims at 5pm ET on Fox Sports 1 and Sportsnet 360 and the main prelims live at 8pm ET on Fox and Sportsnet 360. Since it’s Easter weekend, the family stuff has been taking much of our time and our write ups will be relatively brief, but our early predictions and bets had more detailed break downs and they were posted last night. In this post, we’ll just be going over a couple of our parlay bets for this solid UFC on Fox card. We’ll be looking to cap off a huge week where we went 5-0 for +14.97 units at the TUF Nations Finale on Wednesday night. By the way, if you haven’t checked out Reed Kuhn’s Fightnomics it is a must read for any UFC fan, or anyone interested in betting on UFC fights.
First up, we see Miesha Tate defeating Liz Carmouche in the co-main event women’s bantamweight contest. Two of Tate’s recent losses have come to the champ, Ronda Rousey and the other one was a third round TKO loss to Cat Zingano in a fight she probably had on the score cards. Carmouche seems to lose to all the top women as she was unable to defeat Marloes Coenen, Sarah Kaufman, Ronda Rousey and Alexis Davis, all within the past 3 years and we don’t expect her to be able to turn the tide against Miesha Tate. Parlayed with Tate will be Jordan Mein who will be introducing Hernani Perpetuo to UFC competition. The UFC vet Mein should have no problem disposing of the newcomer, Perpetuo which is why we decided to add him to this parlay. We placed a 3 unit parlay bet on Tate and Mein at 1.85.
Our last bet of the card will be another parlay where we see a couple pretty likely outcomes. Firstly, Dustin Ortiz welcomes Ray Borg to the UFC after a close split decision loss to former number 1 contender John Moraga. Ortiz should be a serious step up for Borg while Borg will be a serious step down for Ortiz, so we expect Ortiz to have no problems tomorrow night. Parlayed with Ortiz will be UFC newcomer Derrick Lewis. Lewis is another guy we expect to have a relatively easy path to victory on Saturday night. We placed a 3 unit parlay bet on Ortiz and Lewis at 1.92.
That’s it for our UFC on Fox 11: Werdum vs Browne picks! We’ll be back early next week with our full UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira predictions and bets.
Werdum over Browne. 3 units at 2.40
Cerrone over Barboza. 3 units at 2.00
Tavares/Magalhaes Parlay. 3 units at 2.34
Tate/Mein Parlay. 3 units at 1.85
Lewis/Ortiz Parlay. 3 units at 1.92