Bellator’s first foray into the Pay-per-view market goes down tomorrow night with Bellator 120 which features former UFC light heavyweight champ taking on former Strikeforce light heavyweight champ Muhammed “King Mo” Lawal. Compared to Bellator 119, this card is a very good offering by Bellator, but in our opinion, not one that should be on pay-per-view. Hopefully they will quickly realize most people aren’t willing to drop the $45 they are charging and they move all their cards back to regular TV. Anyway, the pay-per-view goes down at 10pm ET with the prelims starting at 8pm ET on Spike TV. We’ll be looking to make it 6 straight profitable events leading into a busy end of May with 3 UFC events in 2 weeks! For all the details, check our track record.
Quinton “Rampage” Jackson over Muhammed “King Mo” Lawal: King Mo has not looked great in his last couple fights. Jackson’s decline is worrying, but he should still be able to get the job done tomorrow night. Our prediction is a Rampage decision victory, but Mo’s power and Jackson’s decline keep us from placing a bet.
Michael Chandler over Will Brooks: Late notice fight, but not expecting this one to even be close. Our bet is 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at 1.81 (-123) at Bookmaker. No way we’d touch Chandler even in a parlay at 1.11 (-901).
Alexander Shlemenko over Tito Ortiz: Can’t touch this one from a betting perspective as there are too many unknowns about Tito. The size difference is pretty comical though.
Alexander Volkov over Blagoy Ivanov: Our lone dog pick of the night, the line of Volkov has steadily increased since opening at 1.90 (-110). We bet 2 units on Volkov at 2.35 (+135) 5Dimes as well as 2 units on under 1.5 rounds at 2.10 (+110) at Bookmaker.
Michael Page over Rick Rainey: Michael Page tries to fight like Anderson Silva, goofing off with his hands down all the time. Page has yet to fight anyone really good so this fight will be a good test. While we expect him to win, the line is getting out of hand and the value may actually be in the dog. No bet on this one from us.
Cheick Kongo over Eric Smith: Kongo should cruise in this match-up, but at 38 years old and with a questionable chin, we can’t bet him 1.15 (-660). The under 1.5 rounds line sits at 1.61 (-165), but even that is basically unbettable because a large number of Kongo’s wins have come by clinching against the cage for 3 rounds.
Shahbulat Shamhalaev over Fabricio Gueirreiro: No bet, although the under 1.5 rounds is tempting at 2.35.
Mike Richman over Goiti Yamauchi: A lot of people seem to be thinking Yamauchi will win this. We’re not on board. No bet on this fight.
Held over Jolly: Held likely wins this in quick fashion. Line is crazy so no bet from us.