It was a busy weekend of fights for the UFC with a total of 21 bouts over 2 cards. The first was UFC Fight Night 43: Te Huna vs Marquardt which was live from 2:30 am ET to 7:00 am ET and the second was UFC Fight Night 44: Swanson vs Stephens which was live from 7:30 pm ET to 1:00 am ET. Before we get into the betting results, we want to point out that while international expansion is great for the UFC, setting up fight cards so that it is very difficult for your most hardcore fans to watch all the fights is a great way to destroy your brand. Those of us in North America who wanted to catch all the fights would have either had to adjust our entire sleep schedule to be awake for the morning card and sleep during the day before the night card or we would have had to stay up for almost 24 hours straight, which is ok if you have no other obligations in life. Enough complaining though, on to the results.
UFC Fight Night 43: Te Huna vs Marquardt
The main event at UFC Fight Night 43 was really the only surprise outcome of the card. In every other fight, the man that was favoured by the bookies came through with the win. Unfortunately, our second parlay of the fight card had the main event favourite, James Te Huna parlayed with Robert Whittaker. Whittaker looked great in the opening bout of the main card, earning a unanimous decision (30-27×3) over Mike Rhodes. The let down for Te Huna was his submission defense as Nate Marquardt locked up an armbar late in the first. We said going into the fight that Marquardt had been on a decline as of late, but in his return to middleweight, he looked far better than he has in recent fights. We lost our 3 unit bet.
Our second parlay bet of the card was on a couple veterans fighting on the undercard as we had Gian Villante to defeat Sean O’Connell and Neil Magny to defeat Rodrigo De Lima. In what ended up being fight of the night, Gian Villante took a split decision victory that was closer than we would have liked. It was a back and forth fight, but the one thing that stood out was Villante’s improved cardio which has let him down in the past. Magny’s victory wasn’t without issue either as he was outgrappled in the first round, but managed to TKO De Lima in the second. We profit 2.43 units on our 3 unit bet.
Our final two bets of the card were over/under bets. The first was a bet on the previously mentioned Rodrigo De Lima and Neil Magny fight to go over 2.5 rounds. As we said, Magny took home the win in the second round so we lost our 2 unit bet on the over 2.5 rounds. Thankfully, we won our second totals bet where we had Vik Grujic and Chris Indich to fight for less than 2.5 rounds. Vik Grujic was able to get the stoppage along the cage with just 5 seconds left in the first to make our bet good! We profit 2.80 units on our 2 unit bet.
Under 1.5 Rounds – Grujic/Indich. 2 units at 2.40 (+140). (+2.80 units)
Magny/Villante Parlay. 3 units at 1.81 (-123). (+2.43 units)
Te Huna/Whittaker Parlay. 3 units at 1.94 (-106). (-3.00 units)
Over 2.5 Rounds – Magny/De Lima. 2 units at 1.74 (-135). (-2.00 units)
Event Record: 2-2
Event Profit: +0.23 Units
UFC Fight Night 44: Swanson vs Stephens
The favourite in the main event, Cub Swanson didn’t suffer the same letdown as James Te Huna at Fight Night 43. Again, we went into the main event slightly profitable and again, we needed a big win in the main event to end with a decent profit on the night. The parlay bet on the line was our main card parlay which featured Ricardo Lamas, Kelvin Gastelum and Cub Swanson. Lamas got it started right with a smart performance against Hacran Dias. We expected Lamas to have the striking advantage, but that was taken away when he broke his hand in the first, but he accomodated with significant grappling and managed to earn the victory. Kelvin Gastelum was surprisingly outgrappled for much of the first round of his fight against Nicholas Musoke, but the second and third were all Gastelum as he kept it standing and outstruck his opponent on route to a unanimous decision win. Swanson also managed a unanimous decision victory over Jeremy Stepehns in the main event, avoiding most of Stephens powerful attacks with his speed and finesse. We profit 5.22 units on our 3 unit bet.
Our second parlay of the night featured Johnny Beford and Carlos Ferreira, but it didn’t go as planned as Cody Gibson TKO’d Johnny Bedford within a minute of the bell ringing to start their fight. Carlos Ferreira did take the victory over Colton Smith via first round sub, but there’s no prize for winning 1 leg of a 2 leg parlay. We lost our 3 unit bet.
The final parlay of the night featured two fighters in early fights on the card as we had Oleksiy Oliynyk and Ray Borg to win in the first two fights of the night. Both men looked great and both were able to lock up first round submissions on their inferior opponents. For Oliynyk, that opponent was Anthony Hamilton while Borg defeated Shane Howell. We profit 2.28 units on our 2 unit bet.
Swanson/Gastelum/Lamas Parlay. 3 units at 2.74 (+174). (+5.22 units)
Oliynyk/Borg Parlay. 2 units at 2.14 (+114). (+2.28 units)
Bedford/Ferreira Parlay. 2 units at 2.06 (+106). (-2.00 units)
Event Record: 2-1
Event Profit: +5.50 Units
That’s it for our double UFC fight card betting recap. Stay tuned this week as we have another double dip of UFC action on the weekend with UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida and the TUF Finale: Penn vs Edgar going down Saturday and Sunday respectively. Hopefully it will be another successful weekend of betting!