It was a close, but no cigar type of night as we were inches away from profiting over 4 units. Instead, the judges scored the co-main event in favour of Tony Ferguson even though he was lying on his back for more than half the fight. In the end, we lost 1.75 units and went 1-2 on our bets. We didn’t have a bet on the main event, but TJ Dillashaw was dominant in disposing of a very game Joe Soto to retain his UFC bantamweight title.
Our final bet of the night was a 2 unit bet on Danny Castillo to defeat Tony Ferguson. The bet was 2 units at 3.30 (+230). The first 2 rounds were pretty even, we assumed it was 19-19 heading to the third. The third round seemed to be Castillo’s as he got on top and stayed there for pretty much the entire round. We had it 29-28 Castillo. The judges didn’t see it the same way, scoring a split decision in Ferguson’s favour. We lose our 2 unit bet.
Our second bet of the night was a 3 unit play on the women’s fight where we had Bethe Correia to defeat Shayna Baszler. The bet was at 1.75 (-133) and the line on the fight had stayed pretty much the same with slight action coming in on Correia. Round 1 saw a lot of grappling. It was pretty even for the most part, but in the brief standup, Correia seemed to do better. Round 2 saw Correia continue her stand up advantage, teeing off on Baszler as Baszler was not defending herself against the cage. Herb Dean eventually stepped in giving Correia the victory. We profit 2.25 units.
Our first bet of the night was a 2 unit bet on the debuting Damon Jackson to defeat Yancy Medeiros. The bet was 2 units at 2.00 (+100) and the line had stayed pretty close to even leading up to the fight. Round 1 was fought pretty evenly on the feet, but Jackson controlled most of the clinch. We felt the judges probably scored it for Medeiros regardless of Jackson’s control though. In round 2 it took less than 2 minutes for Medeiros to lock up an impressive “reverse bulldog choke” which rendered Jackson unconscious. The win costs us 2 units.
We’ll be back next week with our full predictions and bets for UFC Fight Night 50: Souza vs Mousasi. We should have more bets for that card and hopefully the outcome is a little better! Remember to follow us on Twitter and Facebook for all the latest.
Correia over Baszler. 3 units at 1.75 (-133). (+2.25 units)
Castillo over Ferguson. 2 units at 3.30 (+230). (-2.00 units)
Jackson over Medeiros. 2 units at 2.00 (+100). (-2.00 units)
Event Record: 1-2
Event Profit: -1.75 units