UFC Fight Night 52 was the third event of September and like the other two events, it wasn’t particularly notable for us. We ended the night with a slight loss which could have been different had Mark Hunt got the job done 30 seconds earlier in the main event, but there’s nothing to complain about really, we didn’t have enough of our plays work out! By the way, if you’re interested in buying our UFC 178 paid picks, here’s an example of our paid picks.
Our fourth and fifth bets of the night were both on the main event. Firstly, we had a 3 unit bet on Mark Hunt at 1.69 (-145) to defeat Roy Nelson. Secondly, we had a 1 unit bet on the fight to be less than 1.5 rounds at 2.60 (+160). We needed both bets to win in order to be profitable on the night. Round 1 was relatively slow paced with limited willingness to engage from both guys. The second round seemed to turn in Hunt’s favour and just after the half way point of the second round Hunt knocked Nelson out to become the first one to TKO Nelson in his 29 fight career. We have a net profit of 1.07 units.
Our third bet of the night was our second underdog paid tip of the night. We had 2 units on Amir Sadollah to defeat Yoshihiro Akiyama at 2.50 (+150). By fight time the line had stayed relatively stable, but was as high as 2.67 (+167) at some sports books. Round 1 went well for all of 20 seconds as Sadollah appeared to be winning the stand up before he got planted on his back for most of the rest of the round. Round 2 and 3 were all Akiyama. We knew the outcome before the scores were read, it was a unanimous decision victory for Yoshihiro Akiyama and we lose our 2 unit bet.
Our second bet of the night was a free bet on a favourite as we laid down 3 units on Michinori Tanaka to defeat Kyung Ho Kang. We locked in the bet at 1.59 (-170), but by fight time the line had risen slightly to 1.67 (-150). Round 1 was not very good for Tanaka as he took some devastating strikes early and Kang took his back. Most of the rest of the round was spent with Kang on Tanaka’s back. Round 2 was far better as Tanaka was on top for the majority of the round. Round 3 was incredibly close with back and forth action on the feet and mat throughout. It ended up being an incredibly close fight. Honestly we probably would have scored it 29-29. The judges scored it 29-28, 28-29 and 29-28 for the winner by split decision Kyung Ho Kang. We lose our 3 unit bet.
Our first bet of the night was a paid pick where we had Johnny Case to defeat Kazuki Tokudome. We placed the bet at 2.45 (+145), but by fight time, a lot of action came in on Case driving the odds on him down to 2.28 (+128). Round 1 was mostly spent on the ground with Tokudome on top. The tide turned in round 2 as Case landed several hard strikes before locking up a guillotine choke against the cage. Our bet is good and we profit 2.90 units.
Hunt over Nelson. 3 units at 1.69 (-145). (+2.07 units)
Case over Tokudome. 2 units at 2.45 (+145). (+2.90 units)
Under 1.5 rounds – Hunt/Nelson. 1 units at 2.60 (+160). (-1.00 unit)
Sadollah over Akiyama. 2 units at 2.50 (+150). (-2.00 units)
Tanaka over Kang. 3 units at 1.59 (-170). (-3.00 units)
Event Record: 2-3
Event Profit: -1.03 units