Our free play for the Friday card of this weekend was already released so it’s time for our free betting tip for Saturday’s UFC on Fox 13: Dos Santos vs Miocic card. This bet will also be a parlay between a couple of favoured lines which is pretty ordinary for our free betting tip. Generally, we keep our underdog picks for our paid subscribers and we have released 3 underdog picks to those who paid for our bets. Our full predictions and bets, which were released earlier today, are the only place you can see these underdog bets and are available through our Sellfy page. As you’ll see in our UFC Betting Track Record, we had a strong November, but suffered a slight loss in the first event of December so we’ll be looking to turn December back into green for our followers!
In the main event of this pretty solid UFC on Fox card, Junior Dos Santos returns from just over a year off after losing a 5 round war to Cain Velasquez for the title. He is still relatively young for a heavyweight at 30 years of age and will be looking to rebound and eventually earn a fourth fight with the champ. Since debuting in the UFC, Dos Santos has lost just twice, both times to Velasquez for the title. Overall, he is 16-3 and 9-2 in the UFC. His opponent, Stipe Miocic is 12-1 overall and 6-1 for the UFC. Miocic is 32 years old and has solid wrestling credentials being a former D-1 wrestler. In this match-up, we expect the boxing of Dos Santos to be too much for Miocic to handle. He may go for takedowns, but we don’t see them working very well. 12 of Dos Santos’s 16 career wins have come via TKO and 14 have come inside the distance. The bet we like most in this fight is the under 2.5. Even if Dos Santos doesn’t get the finish, Miocic has TKO’s in 8 of his 12 wins and finishes in 9 of 12. The under 2.5 rounds in this fight will be the first leg of our free bet parlay.
The second leg of our free bet parlay is the under 1.5 rounds in the Stefan Struve vs Alistair Overeem fight. If you thought Dos Santos and Miocic finish a lot, look at a guy like Alistair Overeem who has finishes in 34 of his 37 career wins. He also tends to get finished, being finished in 11 of his 14 career losses. Similarly, his opponent Stefan Struve has finished 23 of his 25 wins and has been finished in all 6 of his career losses. We definitely see this one ending in fireworks and you can add to the probability of a finish the fact that Struve is coming off a heart issue and it’s unclear whether that will affect his performance. We placed a 1 unit bet on the under in both these fights at 2.22 (+122) at 5Dimes.
That’s it for our free betting tip for UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic. Whatever you decide to bet on Friday and Saturday, we hope it ends well for you! Remember our full betting tips are only available on our Sellfy page. Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for all the latest!
Dos Santos/Miocic and Struve/Overeem Under Parlay. 1 unit 2.22 (+122) at 5Dimes.