UFC Fight Night 58: Machida vs Dollaway is just a few days away and we’re here with our free betting tip for the event. Overall, there were 4 underdogs we were thinking of betting so we’ll make one of those bets a free pick and the other 3 paid tips. Unfortunately, we had a couple bad weeks to start December after having a very strong November so we’ll be looking to pick things up and make a dent in our December loss at this Saturday’s fight night. Overall though, we are still significantly profitable and return over 10% on our bets which is very good in terms of MMA betting! Our full betting tips for this Saturday’s card can be purchased from our Sellfy page for just $9.95 (or $4.97 if shared on social media).
In the fourth fight of the six fight main card, TUF Brazil winner Antonio Carlos Jr will take on “The Barista” Pat Cummins. Carlos Jr will make the transition to light heavyweight after fighting as a heavyweight on TUF Brazil (Wanderlei vs Sonnen), which is probably the case for most fighters who fought on that season of TUF. He sports an overall record of 4-0 not including his 3 TUF wins. His lone UFC appearance was at the TUF finale where he defeated Vitor Miranda via unanimous decision. He is a black belt jiu jitsu pracititioner with a gold in the 2010 World Championship. In addition he showed decent striking on TUF Brazil with 2 of his wins coming by TKO. Pat Cummins is most well known for losing in the co-main event of UFC 170 to Daniel Cormier. He was signed on late notice while working at a coffee shop and got in several heated exchanges with Cormier prior to their fight on the pay-per-view. He does have pretty solid wrestling, being a former teammate of Cormier while he was prepping for the Olympics and also being a former D-1 wrestler. He holds a 6-1 record overall and bounced back from the Cormier loss with 2 straight wins over Roger Narvaez and Kyle Kingsbury. If we’re giving a fully honest assessment here though, Kyle Kingsbury was on the last legs of his career and Narvaez is not a particularly good fighter so Carlos Jr will likely be the toughest test of Cummins career since Daniel Cormier.
As we said above, we think Carlos Jr is a tough test for Cummins. Add to that the fact that Cummins won’t just be able to take down and stall against Carlos Jr in the hostile Brazilian environment and we think this fight is ripe for the 2.45 (+145) dog, Carlos Jr, to come up with a win. Carlos Jr should have the jiu jitsu advantage on the ground and we don’t expect him to be completely outmatched on the feet either. Based on all this, we think the side to be on in this fight is definitely the dog’s. We placed a 2 unit bet on Antonio Carlos Jr at 2.45 (+145) at 5Dimes.
Carlos Jr over Cummins. 2 units at 2.45 (+145) at 5Dimes