We’re just 2 days away from what will likely end up being one of the best selling pay-per-views of 2015. The main event features Jon Jones and Daniel Cormier in a grudge match that escalated to a brawl at a press conference in late 2014. We already posted our early betting tips and our fantasy preview so now it’s time to finish up with the betting tips! In case you don’t follow us on social media, we spent quite a bit of time over the holidays making our betting track record more user friendly. Let us know what you think in the comments. We’re hoping to crush the results we had in 2014 with our 2015 betting tips and UFC 182 will kick that off. On another note, our picks are only free because of our partnership with Draft Kings. Sign up through our link to show your appreciation and get a 100% match bonus as well as a $2 voucher to enter the $25k Jones vs Cormier tournament.
As the first leg in our third parlay (and I don’t think we need to go into huge detail on this one because most people are on board already), we have Kyoji Horiguchi to defeat Louis Gaudinot. It would be incredibly surprising if Gaudinot were able to somehow come up with a victory. So much so that we’re willing to lay the steep price of 1.15 (-675) on Horiguchi. Let’s be real though, Horiguchi has advantages pretty much anywhere this fight takes place and he should dominate from bell to bell. Mark Horiguchi as the first leg of parlay #3.
The second leg of parlay #3 is a line we find rather surprising on the prelims. Heavyweights Shawn Jordan and Jared Cannonier will collide in the second bout of the prelims and we don’t see it lasting very long. Jordan is 16-6 overall with 15 of his 16 wins coming inside the distance and 4 of his 6 losses. Cannonier is 7-0 with 6 of his 7 wins coming inside the distance. It’s surprising given each of their propensity to finish that the under 1.5 rounds line is only 1.65 (-155). We lean towards a Jordan TKO win late in the first, but if the underdog Cannonier can pull it off, it will likely be an early first round finish. Either way, both outcomes see the under 1.5 hitting. Since we think there’s decent value in the under we parlayed it with Horiguchi to get close to even money on the bet. We bet 2 units on Horiguchi and Jordan/Cannonier under 1.5 rounds at 1.89 (-111) at BetOnline. We recommend placing this bet ASAP as we don’t see either of the lines making up this parlay staying where they are over the next 48 hours.
Our final bet of the event will be a 2 unit underdog play. In the second bout of the Fight Pass prelims, Omari Akhmedov and Mats Nilsson will fight it out. Akhmedov is 13-2 overall with a 1-1 record in the Octagon. He is 27 years old and hails from Dagestan. His Swedish opponent, Nilsson is 11-3-1 overall and 31 years old. In the Octagon, Nilsson has gone 0-1. Nilsson will be making the drop to welterweight for this fight having previously lost to Luke Barnatt at middleweight. If you remember back to Akhmedov’s UFC debut where he fought and defeated Thiago Perpetuo, you will recall Akhmedov’s all offense, no defense style that actually got him into trouble several times in that fight. While there is a good possibility Nilsson gets knocked out early, we expect his defenses to hold up until he eventually submits Akhmedov. Our model sees Nilsson winning this fight most of the time. We placed a 2 unit bet on Nilsson at 2.45 (+145) at 5Dimes.
That’s it for our UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier betting tips! We look forward to an absolutely sick night of fights. Remember to sign up on Draft Kings MMA Fantasy to make the event even more exciting. You can also follow us on Twitter and Facebook for all our latest updates!
Jones/Castillo Parlay. 3 units at 2.35 (+135) at BetOnline
Marquardt/Lombard Parlay. 3 units at 2.00 (+100) at BetOnline
Horiguchi/Under 1.5 Jordan/Cannonier Parlay. 2 units at 1.89 (-111) at BetOnline
Nilsson over Akhmedov. 2 units at 2.45 (+145) at 5Dimes