The TUF 21 Finale: Ellenberger vs Thompson went down last night from Las Vegas and while it wasn’t too bad a card, it looked way worse considering the epic fights that had gone down the night before at UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor. The event marked our sixth straight profit as we went 2-1 on our 4 unit plays and split our 2 unit plays, 1-1. When you’re betting primarily underdogs though, those are awesome numbers to hit. The 3-2 overall record resulted in a decent profit of 5.60 units. Our free tip for Wednesday’s UFC Fight Night 71: Mir vs Duffee has already been posted and you can get all the bets on our CapperTek page!
Our final bet of the night was on the main event as we had 2 units on Jake Ellenberger to defeat Stephen Thompson as our free betting tip for the event. We got odds of 2.80 (+180), but by fight time it had climbed to 3.15 (+215). It was a pretty wild first round as both guys dropped each other, but unfortunately, Thompson proved to be the better striker as he landed a couple spinning kicks on an already rattled Ellenberger to get the finish. We lose our 2 unit bet.
The fourth bet we had on the table was 2 units on Michael Graves to defeat Vicente Luque. We placed the bet at odds of 2.10 (+110), but it jumped all the way to 2.70 (+170) leading up to the fight. Graves kept it relatively boring in round 1, landing several takedowns, but not doing too much as well as pressing Luque against the cage at times. Round 2 was more of the same. Graves continuously worked and got takedowns while also controlling Luque against the cage. We had it 20-18 Graves heading to the third. Round 3 saw Luque controlling a front headlock for the majority, but Graves landed a late takedown and some ground and pound. We had the fight 29-28 Graves going to the judges. All 3 judges agreed with our score and we profit 2.20 units on our 2 unit bet.
Our third bet of the night and also third 4 unit play of the night was on Mike De La Torre to defeat Maximo Blanco. We placed this bet at 2.25 (+125), but by fight time after Blanco missed weight, De La Torre had actually become a 1.67 (-150) favourite at some books. This bet didn’t take long as referee Yves Lavigne jumped in way too early for our taste as De La Torre was on wobbly legs, but looked ok to continue. We lose the 4 unit play.
Our second bet of the night was another 4 unit play, this time on the main event of the prelims. The bet was on Josh Samman at 2.25 (+125). By fight time, the line had dropped to 2.05 (+105). Samman’s striking looked solid in the early going, eventually dropping Magalhaes with a well timed leg kick. Samman made no mistake, taking top control and eventually getting Magalhaes’s back and locking up a rear naked choke. We profit 5 units on our 4 unit bet.
Our first bet of the night was a 4 unit play on Trevor Smith to defeat Dan Miller. We got odds of 2.10 (+110), but by fight time, Smith was even the favourite at some books as the money flowed in on him. Round 1 was close on the feet, but once Trevor Smith got Miller down, he maintained top position for most of the round. Round 2 was almost entirely spent with Smith landing enough damaging strikes to maintain top position. Miller looked to have no desire left to fight as he struggled to his feet at the end of the second. The third started and Smith once again got a quick takedown and began landing ground and pound. Smith kept top control for the whole round and we weren’t worried going to the judges. Two judges actually scored it 30-25 for Smith and the last scored it 30-26 and we profit 4.40 units on our 4 unit bet!
That’s it for our TUF 21 Finale: Ellenberger vs Thompson betting recap. We’ll be back Tuesday night for those following us on CapperTek to bring you our 3 underdog bets for the event! We’ll also be back this week with another free play for Friday’s UFC Fight Night 72: Bisping vs Leites. Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for all our latest updates!