UFC Fight Night 76: Poirier vs Duffy goes down Saturday, October 24, 2015 from the 3Arena in Dublin, Ireland. The main event features one of just two men to ever defeat Conor McGregor taking on somewhat of a gatekeeper in the #13 ranked UFC lightweight Dustin Poirier. We’ll be bringing you one free parlay bet for this event to accompany what currently looks like 3 additional bets that will only be available via Cappertek. Also on Cappertek is our third party tracked record since the start of 2015. If you’re looking for a more exhaustive record, every bet we’ve ever made is tracked in our betting track record. In terms of our recent performance, UFC 192 was one of our biggest betting cards of all time, but unfortunately, we only came away with around a half unit in profit. On the other hand, if our bad events still lead to slight profits and our good events lead to massive profits, we’ll be pretty happy! Regardless, the small profit starts us off profitable on another month this year, on which 7 of 10 months so far have been in the green!
The co-main event at this event features an important heavyweight battle between #3 ranked Stipe Miocic and #7 ranked Ben Rothwell. Miocic is 13-2 overall and 7-2 inside the UFC. One of those losses was taking Junior Dos Santos to a 5 round decision fight of the night in December, 2014 which he followed up with a 5th round TKO win over former title contender Mark Hunt in a fight that he was ahead throughout. He also holds wins over Gabriel Gonzaga and Roy Nelson and at 33 years old with only 15 career fights he is relatively “fight young”. His opponent, Ben Rothwell is also 33, but has an overall record of 35-9 and a UFC record of 5-3. After going 2-3 in his first 5 UFC fights, he has rattled off 3 straight wins over some pretty good competition in Brandon Vera, Alistair Overeem and Matt Mitrione. He was an underdog against both Overeem and Mitrione, but used a combination of elusiveness and power to come away with TKO wins. We expect this approach to not work versus Miocic who should have a speed advantage on the feet. Our model also favours Miocic by a wide margin which is why we decided to make him the first leg of our two team free betting tip parlay. We got this first leg at 1.29 (-340) at Bookmaker.
The second leg of our two team parlay is Darren Elkins. He fights Robert Whiteford in a featherweight contest that is currently listed as the second fight of the Fight Pass prelims. Elkins is 31 years old and has been fighting for the UFC since 2010. Overall, he is 18-5 and has gone 8-4 for the UFC. He has 7 wins by knockout, 3 by submission and 8 by decision. He is younger than his 33 year old opponent, Whiteford, but definitely has experience against a higher level of competition with fights against Jeremy Stephens, Chad Mendes and Diego Brandao. Whiteford will be fighting for the fourth time inside the Octagon where he is 2-1 so far. Overall, he is 12-2 with most of his fights being on the European regional scene. Our model sees the veteran, Elkins as the favourite in this one and with some money coming in on Whiteford in the last few hours, we think it’s time to pull the trigger. Our free parlay bet features Stipe Miocic to defeat Ben Rothwell and Darren Elkins to defeat Robert Whiteford. It will be a 2 unit bet at 2.16 (+116) at Bookmaker.
That’s it for our free betting tip for UFC Fight Night 76: Poirier vs Duffy. Stay tuned to our Facebook and Twitter as we’ll have a free bet for UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor early this week. Also remember to get our full bets from Cappertek as we’re expecting to have 3 additional bets for UFC Dublin as well as bets for the other UFC cards coming up in late October/November.
Miocic/Elkins Parlay. 2 units at 2.16 (+116) at Bookmaker