It ended up being another great day of betting for us at yesterday’s UFC Fight Night 76: Holohan vs Smolka. With the 4.30 unit profit on a 2-1 day, we lock in another profitable month, our seventh (out of 10) on the year. Our track record is now fully up to date and you can also check out our third party tracked record at Cappertek. Next up is UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs Henderson III which goes down on November 14 and we’ll have you covered with the best betting tips for that event!
We had all 3 of our bets on the first 3 fights of the night. The third bet was another 2 unit underdog play, this time on Cathal Pendred to defeat Tom Breese. We got odds of 3.30 (+230) and it closed at 3.48 (+248). This bet didn’t turn out as well as our other two as Breese’s range proved to be a big problem for Pendred. An early strike seemed to break Pendred’s nose and from then on it was just a matter of time until Breese found a home for a couple more devastating strikes that sent Pendred to the ground and allowed him to win as te ref stepped in. We lost our 2 unit bet.
Our second bet of the night was originally a parlay that included Darren Elkins and Stipe Miocic, but when Miocic dropped out of his fight with Ben Rothwell it became a straight bet on Darren Elkins to defeat Robert Whiteford. The line was 1.67 (-149) and the bet was 2 units. This line was relatively the same leading up to the fight. Round 1 was pretty back and forth. Elkins got a couple takedowns, but Whiteford was landing the better strikes in time spent on the feet. We had it 10-9 Elkins after 1. Round 2 was all Elkins as he got a bunch of takedowns and completely controlled the grappling while also landing some damaging ground and pound. Round 3 was even more clear than the second as Elkins even dropped Whiteford midway through the round and landed a ton of damaging ground and pound. We had it 30-27 Elkins going to the judges and not expecting any surprises. All 3 judges scored it the same way and we profit 1.34 units.
Our first bet of the night was on the opening fight of the night as we had 2 units on Gareth McLellan to defeat Bubba Bush at 3.48 (+248). You could have done slightly better right before the fight as the line climbed to 3.85 (+285) or so. Round 1 was definitely Bush’s. He got more takedowns and stayed in top control for most of the round. The only offense by McLellan were a couple of guillotine attempts. Round 2 was far better for McLellan. A well timed cage grab (sarcasm) allowed him to get mount position. He reigned down ground and pound for almost the entire round. Round 3 began with McLellan landing a big uppercut and dropping Bush. Bush actually turned it around and got on top for a short period, but McLellan reversed and got on top. He reigned down ground and pound until just before the final bell when the ref stepped in. We profit 4.96 units on our first bet of the night!