UFC Fight Night 83: Cowboy vs Oliveira goes down next Sunday from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The main event features late replacement, Alex Oliveira taking on former lightweight title contender Donald Cerrone in a welterweight contest. On top of the free bet, we’re eyeing one underdog play, but with full lines yet to come out it’s hard to say how many total bets we’ll have for our paid subscribers. We had an absolutely massive month of January where we profited just under 30 units and we kept that going with a couple unit profit at UFC Fight Night 82 to kick off February. This builds on our great years in 2014 and 2015 and maintains our total profit above 100 units. If you want access to our full betting tips, or our third party tracked record since January, 2015, check out Cappertek.
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As mentioned above, the main event at Fight Night 83 features Donald Cerrone vs Alex Oliveira. This will be Cerrone’s first fight in the welterweight division after defeating many of the best lightweights the UFC has to offer before losing to current champ, Rafael Dos Anjos. Cerrone is 28-7 overall and has one of the higher finishing rates in the lower weight classes with 20 of 28 wins coming inside the distance. He is now 32 years old and sports an impressive 15-4 Octagon record. His opponent Alex Oliveira is 14-2 overall and 3-1 in the UFC. Next Sunday will be his third time fighting at 170 in the UFC. So far he is 2-0 as a welterweight. At 27 years old, you can still probably classify him as a prospect nearing his full potential. Our model favours Cerrone in this fight and he will be the first leg of our free two team parlay. Obviously, going into his 20th UFC fight, Cerrone will have a huge experience edge and he has already faced and beaten much better competition than Oliveira. In addition, coming off a loss to lightweight champ Dos Anjos, he may have a bit of extra motivation, especially if he wants to try to make a title run at welterweight. It remains to be seen whether he will be as great at welterweight as he was at lightweight, but he should be able to bag at least his first W against Oliveira. For Oliveira, Cerrone will be a massive step up in competition. He is also taking the fight on just over 2 weeks notice so that could present some issues for him. Add Cerrone to the parlay at 1.37 (-270).
The second leg of our two team parlay will be fighting in the co-main event as we have Derek Brunson to defeat Roan Carneiro. Brunson is 14-3 overall and 5-1 in the UFC although that one loss could have easily been a win as he was dominating Yoel Romero for 2 rounds before he gassed out in the third and Romero was able to TKO him. He is 32 years old which is not particularly old as a middleweight where we see tons of guys peaking in their mid-30s. Roan Carneiro is 37 years old and has a 20-9 overall record. He re-signed with the UFC after winning battlegrounds MMA one night welterweight tournament where he fought and won 3 times in one night. In his return fight to the UFC he defeated Mark Munoz via submission, but he now hasn’t fought in almost a full year. In his initial UFC run, Carneiro only managed to put up a 2-3 record before getting cut. As we said above, our model favours Brunson in this match-up and he will be the second leg of our free bet parlay. Brunson has the age advantage, he isn’t coming off a long layoff like Carneiro and he will be able to dictate where the fight takes place with his wrestling. Our parlay is 2 units on Donald Cerrone over Alex Oliveira and Derek Brunson over Roan Carneiro at 1.76 (-131) at BetOnline.
That’s it for our free betting tip for UFC Fight Night 83: Cowboy vs Oliveira. Remember to follow us on Twitter and Facebook for all our latest updates! If you want access to our full betting tips, we have various options available at CapperTek including just $9.95 for 7 days of access.
Donald Cerrone over Alex Oliveira and Derek Brunson over Roan Carneiro. 2 units at 1.76 (-131) at BetOnline