Unfortunately we didn’t come away with a profit at UFC Fight Night 83: Cowboy vs Cowboy last night, but there were a couple close moments that could have turned our night around. The net result was 2-5 for -2.79 units. Of course we’re gonna have losing nights occasionally, but the important part is we’ve proven over the long haul to be very profitable! We’re looking forward to getting right back to it with UFC Fight Night 84: Silva vs Bisping next Saturday afternoon!
Our first bet of the night was on the heavyweight opener of the card. We had 4 units on Anthony Hamilton to defeat Shamil Abdurakhimov. We got odds of 2.05 (+105) which was basically exactly where odds closed. It didn’t look good after 1 round. Hamilton struggled at range and was completely unable to get the fight to the ground. Round 2 also didn’t look good as Hamilton got cracked with hard strikes several times at distance and was still unable to land a takedown. Round 3 was basically the same thing as the other two with both men moving slower and engaging less. We had it 30-27 Abdurakhimov going to the judges. All judges scored it for Abdurakhimov and we lose our 4 unit bet.
Next up we had a 1 unit bet on the debuting Kelly Faszholz to defeat Lauren Murphy. We got odds of 4.15 (+315), but quite a bit of money came in on her late with a closing line around 3.65 (+265). Faszholz dominated the early striking, landing a ton of strikes and even dropping Murphy at one point. The tide turned toward the middle of the round as Murphy was able to bloody her up with strikes. Round 2 was fairly close as well. Both girls landed a lot of strikes and the biggest moment may have been Faszholz takedown at the end of the round. We had it 20-18 Faszholz heading to the third. Things fell apart for Faszhols in round 3. She got taken down early and couldn’t get out from under Murphy eventually losing by TKO with about a second left in the fight. We lose our 1 unit bet.
Looking for our first winning bet of the night, we had 2 units on Nathan Coy to defeat Jonavin Webb at 3.35 (+235). This is basically exactly where the line closed (3.30). Round 1 was very close. We felt like Coy landed a bit more, but Webb counterstruck effectively. We had it 10-9 Coy after 1. We had it 20-18 Coy after 2 as he spent a large part of the round outgrappling Webb and it was pretty even when on the feet. Coy spent basically the entire third round in top position and we had it 30-27 going to the judges. The judges got this one right and we profit 4.70 units.
Next up we had a 2 unit bet on Alex Garcia at even money to defeat Sean Strickland. The line was basically the same leading up to the fight. Round 1 was primarily fought on the ground. For the first half, Strickland reigned down ground and pound and for the second half Garcia returned it. We had it 10-9 Strickland after the first. Round 2 was fought mostly on the feet with Strickland absorbing some heavy shots of Garcia, but picking him apart at range. Luckily Garcia landed a takedown with about a minute left and landed some shots up to the end of the round. We had it 19-19 heading to the third. In round 3, Strickland eventually caught a tired Garcia with a hard jab that wobbled Garcia and Strickland followed up to finish the fight. We lost our 2 unit bet.
To kick off the main card we had a 1 unit bet on Shane Campbell to defeat James Krause. We got odds of 2.35 (+135) which was slightly lower than 2.46 (+146) where it closed. Round 1 started with Krause winning the striking, but ended with Campbell winning the striking. Unfortunately, Krause came close to a rear naked choke at the end of the round which probably won it for him. Round 2 was primarily grappling and we gave it to Krause based on controlling position and staying on top. In round 3, Campbell appeared to be the fresher fighter, but it wasn’t quite enough in our opinion. He finished reigning down strikes from mount, but couldn’t get it stopped before the end of the round. We had it 29-28 Krause. All 3 judges scored it the same way we saw it and we lost our 1 unit bet.
Our second last bet of the night was another 1 unit bet. This time we had Tatsuya Kawajiri to beat Dennis Bermudez. We bet it at 4.15 (+315) which was basically exactly where it closed. Round was a dominant grappling display by Kawajiri who landed several takedowns and was stuck to Bermudez like glue. Round 2 saw a tired Kawajiri unable to keep up his grappling attacks. Bermudez managed to find some good striking positions and avoided the takedowns. We had it 19-19 heading to the third. The third round went down like the second and it was clearly 29-28 Bermudez. We lost our 1 unit bet on Kawajiri.
The final play we had was our free parlay. First up in the co-main event, we had Derek Brunson to defeat Roan Carneiro. It didn’t take long for Brunson to make good on leg 1 of our parlay as he dropped Carneiro and followed up with a barrage of strikes for the TKO victory. We looked to Donald Cerrone in the main event to close the parlay. This one also didn’t take long as Cerrone got a nice takedown mid-way through the first and capitalized with a triangle choke. We profit 1.51 units.
That’s was it for our night at UFC Fight Night 83: Cowboy vs Cowboy. We’re looking forward to getting right back into it with UFC Fight Night 84: Silva vs Bisping which goes down from England next Saturday afternoon!