UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz Free Betting Tip

One of the biggest UFC cards of the year goes down this Saturday from Las Vegas, Nevada. Initially scheduled was a lightweight title fight between Conor McGregor and Raphael Dos Anjos, but Dos Anjos pulled out due to a broken foot and was replaced by Nate Diaz in what is now a welterweight contest. We were hoping for a lot of betting opportunities on the card after losing a bit of our huge January profit in February, but unfortunately there just aren’t that many fights we like from a betting perspective so we will likely keep it relatively light and save our bankroll for cards where we see better betting opportunities. Regardless, we’re planning on having this free play, as well as two paid bets (line dependent obviously). To get our full bets, sign up at Cappertek.


In the co-main event, newly minted UFC women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm defends her title against Miesha Tate. Holm defeated Ronda Rousey with a spectacular head kick knockout to take the title at UFC 193 last November. She holds a 10-0 career mark and a 3-0 Octagon record. She is currently 34 years old and has a very well documented professional boxing career where she won several titles. Tate is 29 years old and 17-5 overall. She is 4-2 in the UFC, but is currently riding a 4 fight winning streak of which 3 opponents were ranked in the top 10. We like Holm enough that we made her the first leg of our two team free betting tip parlay. She proved she has a very very high fight IQ in the fight against Rousey where she executed her coaches gameplan flawlessly. Her takedown defense was excellent in that fight and she even took down Rousey at one point. Tate’s game plan has to be to try and get Holm to the ground, but with Tate being a somewhat undersized bantamweight, this will be difficult. Even if Tate does get a takedown or two early on, she has proven in the past (the Zingano fight) that she does tire out and we expect the tide will turn by the third round and Holm should be able to win rounds 3, 4 and 5 regardless of what happens in rounds 1 and 2. Holm is our first leg at 1.28 (-355).

The second leg of our two team parlay fights immediately before the women’s bantamweight title bout. We have Ilir Latifi to defeat Gian Villante in a light heavyweight bout. Latifi is probably best remembered for stepping up to face Gegard Mousasi in a main event on incredibly short notice back in April, 2013. He is starting to build a name for himself outside of that though with 4 first round wins in the Octagon. His only other UFC loss came to a somewhat fluky/unpredictable body kick TKO by Jan Blachowicz. His opponent Gian Villante is 30 years old and 14-6 overall. He is 4-3 in the Octagon after crossing over from Strikeforce where he was 3-2. Villante’s latest win was over the 43 year old Anthony Perosh who he KO’d in the first round. Prior to that he was KO’d by Tom Lawlor and dominated by Corey Anderson for two rounds (Villante was able to come back and win by TKO in the last round). In the fight against Latifi on Saturday, we don’t see Villante lasting very long. We see the most likely outcome as Latifi first round KO. For this reason, we made Latifi the second leg of our two team parlay. The bet is 1.5 units on Latifi and Holm at 1.97 (-103) at Bookmaker.


That’s it for our UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz free betting tip. We are currently planning on adding 2 more bets exclusively for our Cappertek members. To sign up on Cappertek and get all our bets is just $9.95.


Holm over Tate and Latifi over Villante. 1.5 units at 1.97 (-103) at Bookmaker

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