UFC Fight Night 86: Rothwell vs Dos Santos went down this morning/afternoon from Zagreb, Croatia. The early card was a nice break from the UFC’s typical schedule which involves running cards very late on Saturday evenings. For our bets, it was also a good day. We turned around a slow start to end up 4-3 on the day with a profit of just over 3 units. It’s a good start to what we hope with be our third profitable month so far in 2016. To check out our third party tracked record or to purchase our bets for the next two UFC events in April, go to our Cappertek profile.
First up, we had 4 units on Cyril Asker to defeat Jared Cannonier. We got odds of 2.37 (+137) which was basically exactly where the line closed. This bet didn’t work out for us as it was evident the striking favoured Cannonier early on. Asker went for a takedown, but failed and Cannonier eventually clipped him with a huge left hand and finished it with ground and pound. We lose our 4 unit bet.
Next up was another 4 unit bet. This time it was Filip Pejic to defeat Damian Stasiak. We got odds of 2.15 (+115) which was slightly better than where it closed with Pejic as a slight favourite. This one didn’t go down as planned either. Stasiak got an early takedown, but Pejic was able to stand back up. Unfortunately, he chose to engage with Stasiak against the cage and got taken down again. This led to Stasiak taking Pejic’s back and from there he locked up a rear naked choke and killed our bet. It was a shitty start as we were 0-2 for -8.00 units early. Luckily we had 13 units of bets left to make it back.
Looking for our first win we had our third 4 unit play of the night. This time it was Alejandro Perez to defeat Ian Entwistle at odds of 2.40 (+140). The best you could do leading up to the fight was 2.35 (+135). Entwistle went right to his bread and butter, repeated leg lock attempts. Luckily, Perez did his homework and was able to avoid being submitted. Eventually, Perez reigned down enough strikes to get Entwistle to submit and we have our first winner of the night. We profit 5.60 units on our 4 unit bet.
In the main event of the prelims, we had 2 units on Zak Cummings to defeat Nicolas Dalby. We got odds of 2.08 (+108) which was better than where it closed with Cummings as the slight favourite at 1.91 (-110). Round 1 saw Cummings controlling most of the striking including dropping Dalby at one point. He wasn’t able to finish, but still clearly won the round. Round 2 was pretty similar except without the drop as Cummings controlled the striking throughout, avoiding Dalby’s power shots and doubling up on his own. Round 3 was even better for Cummings as he controlled much of the stand up, but also spent significant time in top control on the ground. We had it 30-27 Cummings and awaited a judges decision. All 3 judges scored in Cummings favour and we profit 2.16 units.
To kick off the main card, we had Cristina Stanciu to defeat Maryna Moroz. The bet was 2 unit at 2.67 (+167) which was slightly better than where it closed at 2.55 (+155). Round 1 was fairly clear for Moroz. Stanciu came out on fire and actuall landed some decent strikes, but seemed to tire herself out with a bunch of submission attempts and ended up on her back late. Round 2 saw a tired Stanciu basically stand around and get outstruck while the 3rd saw her losing on the ground. We had it 30-27 Moroz which is the same as the judges scored it. We lost our 2 unit bet.
Our second last bet of the night was a 1 unit play on Francis Ngannou to defeat newcomer Curtis Blaydes. We got odds of 2.30 (+130) which was basically exactly where it closed. Ngannou took round 1, rocking Blaydes twice. His main fault was a brief takedown by Blaydes, but it was fairly clearly his round regardless. Round 2 was similar except both guys lowered their volumes due to being tired. After round 2, the doctor took a look at Blaydes eye which was badly swollen. The doctor determined he couldn’t see and stopped the fight giving the win to Ngannou. We profit 1.30 units.
Our final bet of the night was our free play on Junior Dos Santos to defeat Ben Rothwell. The bet was 4 units at 2.00 (+100) which was slightly higher than where it closed around 1.91 (-110). We had round 1 for JDS as he circled away from the cage and landed a bunch of body shots. Round 2 continued what was happening in round 1 with Dos Santos continuing to beat up Rothwell’s body. He also landed a huge overhand right at the end of the round and sent Rothwell to the canvas with a front kick. Round 3 was more of the same. Dos Santos continued to pepper Rothwell’s body with punches and kicks and it was clearly 30-27 heading to the championship rounds. Round 4 was more of the same. Surprisingly, Dos Santos maintained his pace very well, but Rothwell began to tire. We had it 40-36 going to the 5th. Dos Santos came through and continued to look basically the same in round 5. All 3 judges scored it 50-45 for Dos Santos and we profit 4 units.
That was it for our UFC Zagreb bets. It was a pretty decent card and we came away with a nice profit which is always nice. Remember to follow us on Twitter and Facebook for all our latest updates. Our free bet for UFC on Fox 19: Teixeira vs Evans should be out today with a free bet for UFC 197: Jones vs St Preux out next week.