We were on a bit of a losing streak, but we managed to snap out of it at UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic. We had a chance to bring home a huge profit going into the main event, but for some reason Werdum came out looking like a shadow of the man who beat Cain Velasquez. In total, we profited around 2 units and we look forward to UFC Fight Night 88: Almeida vs Garbrandt as it’s already looking to be a great card for betting. If you want to get our bets for the card, sign up for $9.95 at Cappertek. We released our first bet yesterday.
Our first bet of the night was on Antonio Rogerio Nogueira. Nogueira was a 3.15 (+215) dog vs Patrick Cummins and we had 1 unit on the line. By fight time a bit of money had come in on Nogueira to close at 3.05 (+205). Nogueira looked pretty good early on, he absorbed some leg kicks, but returned fire on Cummins who didn’t seem to be defending himself very well. Eventually, Nogueira used his highly technical boxing to drop Cummins. He followed up with ground and pound, but Cummins was able to stand back up. It was clear once Cummins was back on his feet he wasn’t completely there as Nogueira teed off with strike after strike eventually forcing the ref to step in. We profit 2.15 units on our 2 unit bet.
To kick off the main card, we had the first leg of our two team free parlay. We had John Lineker to defeat Rob Font. The line on Lineker actually climbed as high as 1.83 (-120) leading up to the fight, but closed closer to 1.67 (-150) which was around where we got it. Lineker chased Font down for the entire first round landing several huge body strikes and mostly landing indirect head shots, but still clearly taking the round. Round 2 was more of the same with Font continuing to back up and Lineker landing combinations. It was clearly 20-18 Lineker going to the third in our opinion. The third round was more of the same as Lineker continued to walk Font down. This time Font fell to his back a couple times and Lineker landed some nasty ground and pound. It was clearly 30-27 Lineker in our opinion. 2 judges agreed and 1 judge somehow only scored it 29-28 Lineker, but regardless leg 1 of our parlay was good.
Next up we had 2 units on another dinosaur. This time Nate Marquardt to defeat Thiago Santos. Again it was a 1 unit bet and we got odds of 4.15 (+315) which was basically exactly where it closed. Marquardt wasn’t able to do much against Santos who proved to be bigger and faster. Santos dropped Marquardt once early and again shortly after. The second time, Marquardt was out cold and that was it. We lost our 1 unit bet on Marquardt.
In the second bout of the main card, we had 2 units on Mauricio Rua to defeat Corey Anderson. We got odds of 2.85 (+185) which was significantly better than where it closed at 2.40 (+140) or so. Round 1 was pretty back and forth. The second half of the round started to favour Anderson, but that turned around with a huge shot by Shogun behind the ear. Anderson was knocked down and Shogun almost capitalized by reigning down ground and pound, but Anderson was saved by the bell. Round 2 had the same finish as round 1 except Anderson did better for the rest of the round and the finish wasn’t as dramatic. We had it 19-19 heading to the third. Anderson fought a smart third round, using his wrestling to keep Shogun at bay. Round 2 was the most uncertain of the fight, but we had it 29-28 Anderson and were hoping for a Brazilian decision. We got that decision as 2 of 3 judges awarded the fight to Shogun and we profit 3.70 units on our 2 unit bet.
In the co-main event, we had another 1 unit play on another fighter a lot of people think is on a big decline in Vitor Belfort. We got odds of 3.65 (+265) which was slightly better than where it closed at 3.55 (+255). Unfortunately Vitor didn’t look like his regular aggressive self. Jacare got an early takedown, but Belfort was able to stand up. After Belfort pulled guard for some reason, Jacare got into mount and pounded him until the ref stepped in. We lose our 1 unit bet.
In the main event, we were looking for Fabricio Werdum to defeat Stipe Miocic to close our free bet parlay. It didn’t turn out nearly like we expected. We thought Fabricio Werdum would show up and look like he did vs Travis Browne and Cain Velasquez. Light on his feet with great footwork and a lock on the ground if it goes there. Unfortunately, he opted to chase Stipe around the cage and Stipe clipped him while back pedaling. It was enough to knock Werdum out. We lost our 2 unit parlay bet.
All in all, it was a pretty exciting night of fights and we came away with a profit to break a losing skid. We’re hoping to bring home a much bigger profit with UFC Fight Night 88: Almeida vs Garbrandt next Sunday night. Remember to follow us on Twitter and Facebook for all our latest updates.