UFC 206: Holloway vs Pettis Free Betting Tip


UFC 206: Holloway vs Pettis goes down tomorrow night from our backyard, Toronto, Ontario. Alas, we won’t be attending this event as the ticket prices are pretty steep especially with the initial main event of Cormier vs Johnson off the card and the main event as an interim featherweight title fight for only one fighter. Even though the card isn’t the best on paper, it is absolutely awesome from a betting perspective with several slight dogs that we feel have well over 50% chance of winning. We’ll get to one of those in this free bet post, but first we want to go over our impressive recent results. In 9 of the last 11 events we have bet on which include Bellator and UFC, we have walked away with a profit. Over that streak we have returned our followers more than 30 units in total profit which is way better than any service we know of and you can get all these bets for just $9.95 at Cappertek. In total this weekend, we have 10 bets for 28 units risked. Remember to get the bets before Friday night’s UFC Fight Night 102: Lewis vs Abdurakhimov so you get the best bang for your buck!


In the second fight of the main card, Kelvin Gastelum takes on Tim Kennedy in a middleweight fight. Kennedy will be stepping into the Octagon for the first time in 26 months. He is now 37 years old. He has an overall record of 18-5 and is 3-1 in the UFC. Kelvin Gastelum is fighting at UFC 206 after not even attempting to weigh in for a fight against Donald Cerrone at UFC 205. We don’t now exactly how far he was away from 170 lbs, but it was likely a pretty significant gap. He is 25 years old and 12-2 overall. He is a TUF middleweight winner, picking up the victory in TUF 17 over Uriah Hall in April, 2013. In the UFC, he is 7-2, but is 2-0 as a middleweight which is the weight class where he now belongs as Dana White indicated he will never get a welterweight fight again. In terms of the betting odds, Kennedy is currently a slight favourite while Gastelum is a slight underdog. We will be betting Gastelum in this fight as we have some serious concerns about Kennedy that we feel make this a dog or pass situation. Firstly, he hasn’t fought in 2 years which in the career of a mixed martial artist is an eternity. There are countless examples of fighters coming off a long layoff and not looking the same; the latest example of which being light heavyweight king Jon Jones. In addition to coming off a long layoff, Kennedy is now 37 years old. MMA is an incredibly fast sport and even the slightest slowdown in techniques or defence can make a huge difference in the Octagon. Facing a hungry 25 year old fighter at the age of 37 seems like a bad idea. Thirdly, Kennedy still serves in the US army. There’s no way he can be training as hard as possible part time. Finally, he has stated on multiple occassions he only wants to come back for big name fights. Will Gastelum be enough to get his competitive juices flowing? Only time will tell, but this is another red flag for Kennedy. There are a couple concerns with Gastelum as well. How much did the cut for UFC 205 take out of him and will he be ready on short notice for the fight against Kennedy? Realistically, we feel like the question marks on Kennedy are much worse making Gastelum the only side to bet here. We also like the matchup stylistically from Gastelum’s perspective. Our bet is 4 units on Kelvin Gastelum at 2.20 (+120) at William Hill.


That’s it for our UFC 206 free bet! Be sure to get our full bets before this evening’s UFC Fight Night 102 card which begins at 6:30 pm ET.


Kelvin Gastelum over Tim Kennedy. 4 units at 2.20 (+120) at William Hill

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