UFC on FOX 23: Shevchenko vs Pena Free Betting Tip


UFC on FOX 23: Shevchenko vs Pena goes down tomorrow night in prime time from Denver, Colorado. Featuring a bantamweight bout between Valentina Shevchenko and Julianna Pena which should determine the next challenger for Amanda Nunes title. Also on the card in the co-main event slot is a welterweight fight between two former lightweights, Donald Cerrone and Jorge Masvidal. In terms of bets for the card, we currently have 6 bets up for 20 units and we don’t have any plans to add more. If you want access to our full slate of bets you can get em for just $9.95 at Cappertek. We’ll be looking for a bounce back event after losing our first 3 bets of 2017. As anyone who bets MMA knows though, the short term variance is crazy and it’s the long run that really counts!


In the main event of the prelims, Nate Marquardt and Sam Alvey will fight in a pretty much meaningless middleweight bout. I think we can all agree Marquardt is closing in on the end of his career and Alvey doesn’t have what it takes to challenge for a title; or even to be considered a top 15 fighter. Even though the fight is meaningless it could see a violent end. The 29-8 Alvey has 18 knockouts in his 29 wins. He is mostly a counter puncher so if Marquardt comes out aggressively with his hands down he will likely go to sleep. As a 53 fight veteran and at 37 years old, we expect Marquardt to be smarter than to try and throw aggressive punches at Alvey. We expect Marquardt to use his wrestling advantage to take down and tire out Alvey early. Once Alvey is more tired, Marquardt may choose to stand because his cardio advantage should lead to a speed advantage through the second and third round. He may be able to do enough to knock out Alvey, who we expect to be back peddaling, or he might cruise to a decision, but either way, we are surprised Marquardt is the underdog. We placed a 4 unit bet on Nate Marquardt at 2.40 (+140) at sportsbook.ag. You can currently still get 2.33 (+133) at some books at 2.30 (+130) at most books which we feel is good value.


That’s it for our UFC on FOX 23: Shevchenko vs Pena Free Betting Tip. Be sure to get our full bets for just $9.95 at Cappertek.


Nate Marquardt over Sam Alvey. 4 units at 2.40 (+140) at sportsbook.ag

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