UFC Fight Night 112: Chiesa vs Lee Free Total Bet

UFC Fight Night 112: Chiesa vs Lee goes down tonight from Oklahoma City, Oklahoma and features lightweights Michael Chiesa and Kevin Lee in the main event. In terms of bets for the event, we aren’t hugely confident on any one line so we stuck with 3 – 1 unit bets and 1 – 2 unit bet for a total of 4 bets risking 5 units. You can get all of those for just $9.95 on our Cappertek page. This post will cover an undercard fight that we think has a lot of value in its total.


Clay Guida and Eric Koch will be fighting in a lightweight bout which is the “main event” of the Fox Sports 2 prelims. Guida; affectionately known as “The Carpenter”, has been fighting in the UFC seemingly forever. He began his UFC career way back in 2006 and has fought in the Octagon 23 times since. His overall record stands at 32-17 and his UFC mark is 12-11. He will be fighting for the first time since losing by KO due to a knee by Brian Ortega. Eric Koch is 28 years old and the much less battle tested of the two with a 15-4 career mark and a 4-3 UFC mark. He has also had about a year off, but is coming off a submission win over Shane Campbell. The line we like in this fight is the under 2.5 rounds. Koch is a heavy favourite at -325 and deservedly so in our opinion. A straight bet on a line like that doesn’t make much sense against a crafty veteran like Guida, but the under 2.5 rounds at +135 does. At 35 years old, Guida has clearly declined and coming off a KO his chin isn’t going to be any better. Add 50 fights, many of which were wars and it’s unlikely he’ll be able to hang on for 2.5 rounds against an opponent like Koch who should be able to keep this fight standing and dominate on the feet. If Koch isn’t able to get the KO/TKO, half of Guida’s career losses have come by submission so the submissions should be possible as well. So the total we’ll be betting tonight is Guida vs Koch to go under 2.5 rounds at 2.35 (+135) at BetOnline.


That’s it for our free total for UFC Fight Night 112: Chiesa vs Lee. Be sure to tune into all the action from Oklahoma City, Oklahoma beginning at 5:30 pm ET on Fight Pass.

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