UFC 211: Miocic vs Dos Santos II Free Betting Tip

We’re less than 24 hours away from the biggest card of the year so far! What better time than now to bring you a free betting tip! We have 2 bets for a total of 8 units on the card and we’ll be giving you one of them for free right here! We’ve been on a decent run as of late after a weak start to the year with 5 units of profit over the last 2 events and over 10 units in profit over the last 4. As always you can get all our bets for just $9.95 at Cappertek.

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UFC Fight Night 86: Rothwell vs Dos Santos Betting Results

UFC Fight Night 86: Rothwell vs Dos Santos went down this morning/afternoon from Zagreb, Croatia. The early card was a nice break from the UFC’s typical schedule which involves running cards very late on Saturday evenings. For our bets, it was also a good day. We turned around a slow start to end up 4-3 on the day with a profit of just over 3 units. It’s a good start to what we hope with be our third profitable month so far in 2016. To check out our third party tracked record or to purchase our bets for the next two UFC events in April, go to our Cappertek profile.

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UFC Fight Night 86: Rothwell vs Dos Santos Free Betting Tip

UFC Fight Night 86: Rothwell vs Dos Santos goes down this weekend from Zagreb, Croatia. In an ode to recently retired Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic, 5 of the 13 fights on the card are heavyweight bouts including the final 4 of the evening. As you can see in our Betting Track Record, it’s been a pretty good year so far. We were red hot in January making a profit of almost 30 units, but had a small set back in February which was basically nullified by a winning month of March. Of course, we’re hoping for an absolutely huge April with 3 events in the next few weeks. If you want to check out our third-party tracked track record, or you’re interested in purchasing our betting tips, check out our CapperTek page.

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UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos III Results and Betting Recap

It was incredibly close to a great night for the fight predictor. Had the judges scored the CB Dollaway vs Tim Boetsch fight correctly, we would have had a great return on our bets. As it turned out, they got it wrong and we end up losing 1.8 units. UFC 166 will go down in history as one of the greatest fight cards of all time with an exclamation point provided by the 3 round war between Diego Sanchez and Gilbert Melendez.

Our pick in the main event was Cain Velasquez to defeat Junior Dos Santos within the distance. Junior Dos Santos showed incredible heart, fighting back for all 5 rounds with Cain swarming on top of him. In the fifth round (cutting it closer than we’d like), JDS fell and looed to hit his head while attempting to choke Velasquez. Velasquez capitalized and got the TKO victory. We profit 1.35 units.

In the co-main event, we had the Roy Nelson and Daniel Cormier fight to be under 1.5 rounds. The bet was mostly a value play as the line was sitting at 3.4 to 1, which we felt was way too high for a heavyweight fight. Cormier wrestled Roy for most of the first, and although there was more striking in the second, neither fighter was close to being finished. We lost our 1 unit bet.

We had CB Dollaway to defeat Tim Boetsch in the UFC middleweight division. Dollaway looked to be the better man in round 1 and 2, but 2 accidental eye pokes in round 3 led to a lost point. Somehow, 2 judges scored in 30-26 Boetsch and 1 scored it 29-27 Dollaway. The 30-26 were probably the worst two score cards ever scored in MMA…period! We lost our 2 unit bet.

In a relatively slow fight, KJ Noons defeated George Sotiropoulos to open the Fox Sports 1 prelims. Sortiropoulos looked incredibly tentative throughout and seemed content to mostly throw and land leg kicks. We had Sotiropoulos winning round 2, but the case couldn’t really be made for rounds 1 and 3 to go Sotiropoulos’s way. We lost our 2 unit bet.

In our first bet of the night, we had the Adlan Amagov and TJ Waldburger fight going less than 1.5 rounds. Amagov made us look great when he knocked Waldburger out at 3 minutes of the first round. The knockout was the fourth finish of an exciting Facebook/Youtube preliminary card (keep an eye out for Fili and Horiguchi in the future!). Our 1.5 unit bet on the under profits 1.85 units.

Bet Results

Velasquez over Dos Santos via fifth round TKO. Profit of 1.35 units.
Nelson vs Cormier over 1.5 rounds. Loss of 1 unit.
Boetsch over Dollaway via split decision (30-26×2, 27-29). Loss of 2 units.
Noons over Sotiropoulos via unanimous decision (29-28×2, 30-27). Loss of 2 units.
Amagov over Waldburger via TKO at 3:00 in the first round. Profit of 1.85 units.

Other Results

Melendez over Sanchez via unanimous decision (29-28×2, 30-27)
Gonzaga over Jordan via first round TKO.
Dodson over Montague via first round KO.
Lombard over Marquardt via first round TKO.
Eye over Kaufman via split decision (29-28×2, 28-29).
Ferguson over Rio via first round submission (d’arce choke).
Fili over Larsen via second round TKO.
Horiguchi over Pague via second round TKO.

Stay tuned to our Facebook and Twitter as we will keep you update through those channels!

UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos Full Predictions and Bets

UFC 166 is now under a week away. We have been treated to UFC Prime Time: Velasquez vs Dos Santos III parts 1 and 2. We released our early picks and we’re back now with our full predictions and bets for the event. Since releasing our bets we added a bet on Cormier vs Nelson to be under 1.5 rounds at the ridiculously high line of 3.4 to 1. The fight card takes place this Saturday, October 19 from the Toyota Centre in Houston, Texas with the main card starting at 10pm ET only on Pay-Per-View and the Fox Sports 1 prelims beginning at 8pm ET and the Facebook prelims beginning at 6pm ET.

First off, we should update you on the Roy Nelson camp situation. Apparently he had the worst camp he has ever had for a fight, losing his boxing coach early on and being distracted by his salary negotiations. As we said in our main card predictions, we have Cormier as the huge favourite and Nelson’s struggles with camp only bolsters this. As such, we are adding a 1 unit bet on the fight being under 1.5 rounds at 3.4 to 1 (we see playing Cormier as a suckers bet as he sits below 1.2 to 1).

We begin our preliminary card predictions with a middleweight fight between C.B. Dollaway and Tim Boetsch. Both men enter the fight 2-2 in their last 4, but riding opposite streaks as Boetsch has lost 2 in a row and Dollaway has won 2 in a row. Boetsch has been in or close to being in the top 10 UFC middleweights since the inception of the rankings, while Dollaway is looking for a big win to project himself into top 10 contention. Dollaway is a solid wrestler with division 1 NCAA credentials and will likely look to employ the game plan laid out by Mark Munoz to beat Boetsch. Our model has Dollaway as a slight favourite to take the victory Saturday night. As he is a decent underdog at around 2.6 to 1, we placed a 2 unit bet on Dollaway to earn the victory.

Next up, in the welterweight division, our model has Hector Lombard as a marginal favourite to defeat Nate Marquardt. Besides his KO victory over Rousimar Palhares, Lombard has looked relatively weak since joining the UFC. This fight will mark Lombard’s welterweight debut and it will be interesting to see how he looks physically at the weigh ins. Marquardt comes into the fight with 2 straight losses to Tarec Saffiedine and Jake Ellenberger. At the current line on Lombard of 1.58 to 1, we don’t see any value in betting on him. In addition, with the uncertainty of Lombard coming in at welterweight, a bet on Marquardt at 2.55 to 1 may not be the worst decision. We will hold off on a Marquardt bet, but if Lombard comes into the weigh in looking weak and dehydrated, it is definitely a bet we will consider.

In the lightweight division, George Sotiropoulos and KJ Noons will do battle in the first bout of the prelims. We were surprised when the odds came out that the oddsmakers had Noons as a decent favourite. Noons comes into the fight at 1-5 in his last 6. Over that span, he has been taken down an incredible 17 times. Not great numbers, especially considering he was fighting in Strikeforce and not taking on the best talent available. Sotiropoulos comes into the fight on a 3 fight losing streak. The one very intriguing stat however, is that Sotiropoulos was also unable to land any takedowns in those 3 fights he lost. Facing a very takedownable (is that a word?) opponent should be just the rememedy Sotiropoulos needs to end his 3 fight skid. Therefore, we placed a 2 unit bet on Sotiropoulos 2.6 to 1.

In our final pick of the night, like most people, our model has Adlan Amagov to defeat TJ Waldburger. Incredibly, at the age of just 25, Waldburger has already lost 5 fights via TKO. We see the possibility of Amagov increasing that total as a likely possibility. While we don’t like the current line on Amagov to win at 1.64 to 1, we do like the under 1.5 rounds which sits at 2.85 to 1. We placed a 1 unit bet at 2.85 to 1.

Bets

Velasquez to finish Dos Santos. 1 unit at 2.35 to 1
Under 1.5 Nelson vs Cormier. 1 unit at 3.4 to 1
Dollaway over Boetsch. 2 units at 2.6 to 1
Sotiropoulos over Noons. 2 units at 2.6 to 1
Under 1.5 Amagov vs Waldbuger. 1 unit at 2.85 to 1

Stay tuned to our Facebook and Twitter as we will keep you update through those channels!

Here are the best UFC 166 odds:


BestFightOdds.com