We were on a bit of a losing streak, but we managed to snap out of it at UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic. We had a chance to bring home a huge profit going into the main event, but for some reason Werdum came out looking like a shadow of the man who beat Cain Velasquez. In total, we profited around 2 units and we look forward to UFC Fight Night 88: Almeida vs Garbrandt as it’s already looking to be a great card for betting. If you want to get our bets for the card, sign up for $9.95 at Cappertek. We released our first bet yesterday.
It ended up being an awesome night of betting for us as 4 of our 6 bets ended up cashing at UFC Fight Night 68: Boetsch vs Henderson. Had our bets been mostly chalk favourites, that wouldn’t be a big deal, but considering they were all close to or above even money, it ended up being a big profit of 7.94 units! Not only did we score a big profit, but we saw one of the best main cards there has been on a UFC event so far in 2015. Congrats to all of you who were able to tail our bets, we’ll be back with around 3 plays for next week’s UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum, but will be going back to providing one free bet and charging for the rest which you can get on our CapperTek profile.
We’re just a few days away from UFC Fight Night 40 and the card looks to be pretty good for betting. We’ll be looking to stretch our winning streak to 5 events with 30 of our total 61.67 units of profit coming over that span. Our detailed history is available on our track record. We already provided you with our early predictions and bets for this decent fight night card from Cincinnati featuring Erik Silva and Matt Brown in the main event. We will now go into detail with our full bets including a couple parlays and another straight bet. The early prelims go down on Fight Pass at 6:30pm ET with the televised prelims at 8pm ET and the main card live at 10pm ET. By the way, if you haven’t checked out Reed Kuhn’s Fightnomics it is a must read for any UFC fan, or anyone interested in betting on UFC fights.
We’ve been trying to stay away from Bellator for the most part lately, but one line caught our attention for tomorrows card which features a bantamweight interim title fight in the main event between Joe Warren and Rafael Silva. In addition, we decided to add a couple smaller plays today. We’ll be looking to make it 4 straight profitable events with the last 3 accounting for almost 30 units in total profit! The card goes down from the Revel Atlantic City in Atlantic City, New Jersey with the prelims airing on spike.com and the main card airing exclusively on Spike TV at 9pm ET.
In what is becoming typical of Bellator events, 3 of 4 main card fights had 1 fighter overweight at weigh in time. In all cases, the fighters were given an additional hour to cut more weight, but it remains to be seen if or how many of them are able to make their required weights.
Warren over Silva: Silva takes the fight on late notice, but likely keeps it close. No bet, but could be worth it if Warren climbs too much higher. Current best line 1.68 at Sportbet.com.
Koreshkov over Oropeza: Not expecting this one to be close. Line of 1.18 at Sportsbook.ag not worth playing. We bet 1 unit on under 1.5 rounds. Line is 2.35 at Bookmaker.
Galvao over Vasquez: Similar to Koreshkov, Galvao should easily win, likely by knockout. We bet 1 unit on the under here too. Under 2.5 rounds is at 2.25 at Pinnacle.
McGeary over Mucitelli: Expecting Mucitelli’s aggression and power to be too much and for him to get a quick knockout win. Put 2 units on the under 1.5 rounds which was at 2.50 last night on Bookmaker. This was a Tweeted play.
Caldwell over Pingitore: Can’t believe the line here, Pingitore is 13.00 at Sportsbook.ag. We won’t be betting it, but if you laid down a half unit, we wouldn’t blame you. Bellator tends to be unpredictable with seasoned veterans, never mind relatively inexperienced fighters.
Next up for us is UFC Fight Night 40: Silva vs Brown. We hope to have our early picks and bets out this weekend! Stay tuned to our Twitter and Facebook.
Under 1.5 Rounds Koreshkov/Oropeza. 1 unit at 2.35 at Bookmaker. Under 2.5 Rounds Galvao/Vasquez. 1 unit at 2.25 at Pinnacle. Under 1.5 Rounds McGeary/Mucitelli. 2 units at 2.50 at Bookmaker.
We’re just two days away from Jon Jones defending his UFC light heavyweight title vs Glover Teixeira at UFC 172! We’ll be looking to continue our huge run where we went 9-1 on our 10 bets over the TUF Nations Finale and UFC on Fox 11 which netted a total profit of 24.48 units. In this event, we aren’t predicting any big upsets so most of our bets are parlays. If you had been betting with us since UFC 168, you would now have doubled your bank roll. Our full track record is available here. By the way, if you haven’t checked out Reed Kuhn’s Fightnomics it is a must read for any UFC fan, or anyone interested in betting on UFC fights.
As we said in our early predictions and bets, we think Jones deserves his status as a big favourite. We also mentioned we thought Rockhold was a brutal match-up for Tim Boetsch, but the line was too crazy for a bet. We have decided to throw both those guys into a parlay with Phil Davis, who we also thought was deserving of his status as a favourite. The net result is a 3 unit parlay on Jones/Rockhold/Davis at 2.03. We placed the bet at Sportbet.com and Tweeted it out. There hasn’t been much line movement since then, so you should be able to get close to even money on the parlay.
The second parlay we announced via Twitter was a 3 unit play on Chris Beal and Joseph Benavidez which we placed at 5Dimes. It’s widely believed that Joseph Benavidez will bounce back and forth between winning streaks and losing title shots against Demetrious Johnson for the majority of his prime. We tend to agree with that theory and expect Benavidez to bounce back from his latest loss to Johnson with a big, decisive win. In Elliott’s last fight, a unanimous decision loss to Ali Bagautinov, he was a step behind for the majority of the fight and we expect something similar on Saturday night. The second leg of this parlay, Chris Beal (8-0) to defeat Patrick Williams (7-3) is far from a lock, but as long as Beal doesn’t show significant UFC jitters, the parlay bet should be relatively safe. We think people are overrating Williams’ grappling abilities. We expect Beal will be able to keep the fight on the feet, doing enough damage to take a unanimous decision. Our parlay bet was 3 units at 2.20.
The final bet for this even will be another parlay that we announced on Twitter. This two team bet involves Jim Miller and Danny Castillo. Miller will be taking on Yancy Medeiros. Medeiros has fought twice in the UFC. The first fight was a loss due to a broken thumb against Rustam Khabilov, while the second was a KO win over Yves Edwards that was subsequently overturned due to a failed drug test. There was little to take away from the first bout as the majority saw Medeiros and Khabilov dancing around, planning there attacks, before Medeiros broke his thumb on a takedown by Khabilov. The second saw Medeiros showing suspect defense, attempting to walk through Edwards’ punches and eventually landing a somewhat “lucky” (can we call a perfectly timed punch lucky?) uppercut that dropped Edwards and allowed Medeiros to get the knockout victory. The 16 fight UFC veteran, Miller (12 victories) is unlikely to be defeated by the relatively green Medeiros, especially with only a week or so for both camps to adjust to the recently announced opponent change. The second leg of this parlay is Danny Castillo to defeat Charlie Brenneman. Castillo looked awesome in the first round of his most recent fight against Edson Barboza, clipping Barboza and remaining on top landing ground and pound. Unfortunately, Barboza was able to get his wits about him and do enough for the remaining 2 rounds to defeat Castillo. We expect a similar first round in Castillo vs Brenneman, except we expect Castillo to be able to get the job done against Brenneman who will be fighting for the second time since returning to the UFC after a year and a half absence. His first fight was a first round submission loss to Beneil Dariush. We placed a 3 parlay unit bet on Miller and Castillo at 2.00 at 5Dimes.
After UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira, the UFC will head to Cincinnati, Ohio for UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva on May 10 which will be followed up by a busy end to May with 3 events in 7 days, 2 of which will be on May 31. We’ll have you covered with the best bets from every card. Be sure to follow us on Twitter and Facebook for all the latest! Looking to start a bank roll? We recommend taking advantage of BetOnline‘s first deposit bonus. Not only will that money be yours once you satisfy the rollover requirements, but we’ll be giving you the best bets from every event ensuring you earn a huge profit.
Jones/Rockhold/Davis Parlay. 3 units at 2.03 at Sportbet.com Under 3.5 rounds Jones vs Teixeira. 2 units at 1.65 at 5Dimes Under 1.5 rounds Rockhold vs Boetsch. 2 units at 2.30 at 5Dimes Beal/Benavidez Parlay. 3 units at 2.20 at 5Dimes Miller/Castillo Parlay. 3 units at 2.00 at 5Dimes